Tidbits From Israel
By Ron Jager
Less than a year ago, many respected Middle-East experts and self-appointed “bearers of truth” in the media reported, without an iota of doubt, on Israel’s expected declining status as the United States’ major strategic partner in the Middle East. These bearers of truth were talking about America’s ever-increasing demand for Arab oil and predicting that the United States will remain dependent on imported Arab oil well into the future. They portrayed the ongoing tit-for-tat between President Obama and Prime Minister Netanyahu as the main impetus that would strengthen this strategic trend that was portrayed as inevitable.
Yet in recent months, we have witnessed how the ongoing Arab Spring has released pent-up Islamic jihad rage, destroying Pan-Arab nationalism, which has successfully used the Palestinian Arab conflict to inflate the price of oil since the early 1970s. The Arab Spring has ravaged the political and economic integrity of Muslim nations of the Middle East and has resulted in the end of Western dependence on Arab oil.
With the international media focused solely on the rise of Islamic State in the past year, it’s no surprise that the most dramatic news of 2014 went almost unnoticed. The United States lifted the restrictions on American oil exports, and, as of the first day of 2015, America has begun exporting oil to the world. Overnight, the United States reaffirmed her status as the world’s biggest manufacturer of oil, bigger even than Saudi Arabia, primarily due to the development of oil shale technology, which has revolutionized the production of oil. According to oil industry projections, in the coming year, the United States is expected to export about one-million barrels of oil a day and produce 12-million barrels a day. Oil producers such as Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the rest of the Gulf States that have ideologically, financially, and militarily bankrolled the Palestinian Arab terror inflicted on Israel since the last century all face an uncertain future and are expected to consolidate their efforts inward so as to survive the expected game-changing drop in oil revenues alongside the ramifications of the Arab Spring and the advancing Islamic State army. As the price of oil continues its downward trajectory and is already being sold at less than $50 a barrel on the international spot market, the era of Arab nations using their immense wealth to threaten Israel militarily, politically, and economically is coming to an end.
In recent years, the “Industry of Lies” has expanded its financial support in European parliaments and on campuses of America and Europe with the sole intent of delegitimizing the State of Israel among tomorrow’s leaders; this too will be affected by the expected shortfall of funding by the Persian Gulf’s oil dictatorships. Over the years, these dictatorships have funded thousands of “professional” students who spend their time intimidating—intellectually and sometimes physically—any student or faculty member who publicly supports the policies of the State of Israel.
These oil dictators have funded the BDS movements and the many NGOs that have been at the forefront of demonizing and delegitimizing Israel. Expected in the coming year in the American and the European political arena is a realization that what was will no longer be. Western societies are experiencing reservations regarding the true intentions of local Muslim citizens who reject any semblance of loyalty to the Western and Democratic tradition of the nations that have welcomed them. Using financial strong-arm tactics to buy politicians or bribing national companies will no longer be sustainable due to the severe drop in expected income of the oil dictatorships.
There are daily signs of these changes. The recent international effort by the Palestinian Arab Authority to pass an anti-Israel resolution at the United Nations Security Council failed; the Obama administration, which has a deep sympathy and an inherent understanding of the Palestinian Arab movement, didn’t even blink an eye when they rejected the Palestinian vote against Israel. In other parts of the world, nations that in the past invested extensive diplomatic resources to conceal their bilateral relations with Israel have become impervious to Arab pressure. Israel is expanding her relations with countries that were discreet or have even denied their clandestine bilateral relations with Israel; India, China, Japan, and South Korea are only a few of the many nations that have been freed from the shackles of dependency on Middle Eastern oil.
What seemed in the past to be limitless funding for all anti-Israel activities in the political, academic, and financial spheres will wind down and become depleted. In our dynamic global environment, Israel has a marked advantage on her neighbors and can share her many innovations and creativity with nations that were hesitant to benefit publicly from relations with Israel. The Arab Spring, which unleashed the forces that have torn apart the Middle East as we know it, aided by the collapse of the price of oil, will result in signaling a new era for Israel and her standing among the nations of the world.
Ron Jager is a 25-year veteran of the Israel Defense Forces, where he served as a field mental-health officer and as commander of the central psychiatric military clinic for reserve soldiers at Tel-Hashomer. Since retiring from active duty in 2005, he has been providing consultancy services to NGOs, implementing psychological trauma treatment programs in Israel. Ron currently serves as a strategic adviser to the chief foreign envoy of Judea and Samaria. To contact him, e-mail firstname.lastname@example.org or visit www.ronjager.com.